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Academic ResearchAugust 20, 2026arXiv (cs.AI, cs.CL)

An Agentic Approach for Active Data Collection, Travel Behavior Modeling, and Weather-Sensitive Demand Prediction

A three-part workflow combining a chatbot-administered survey, machine-learning data processing, and LLM-based forecasting to predict weather-sensitive transportation mode choice. Across 454 student observations under five weather conditions, the best vision-augmented LLM configuration reached 71.5% five-class accuracy, showing how multimodal context can strengthen travel demand forecasting.

Authors

Narges Ahmadi, Yubo Jiao, Jônatas Augusto Manzolli, Jiangbo Yu, Luis Miranda-Moreno

Article content

This research proposes an agentic, three-component workflow that combines conversational data collection, data processing, and behavioral forecasting to model travel behavior under different weather conditions. A chatbot-administered survey with visual components gathered transportation mode preferences from students under five weather scenarios, generating 454 observations.

The team analyzed the data with multinomial logit modeling alongside machine-learning techniques, and evaluated nine large language models across a range of configurations.

The best vision-augmented setup achieved 71.5% five-class accuracy, demonstrating the potential of multimodal LLMs for weather-sensitive transportation demand forecasting and, more broadly, for active data collection pipelines in travel and mobility research.

Tags

Artificial IntelligenceGenerative AITourismTravel BehaviorDemand Forecasting

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